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Singapore in numbers · SingStat and METI data

Singapore GDP and GDP growth: the latest figures, and what the year needs

Singapore’s economy grew 5.4% in Q3 2026 on a year earlier (first estimate). See what the rest of 2026 needs, and how official forecasts have done.

GDP growth, Q3 2026

5.4%

Down from 6.2% in Q2

On a year earlier, after inflation. On the quarter before: +1.1%, seasonally adjusted. An early estimate (14 Oct 2026). How much these move

MTI’s forecast for 2026

4.5 to 5.5%

Set 11 Aug 2026

Q1 to Q3 2026 so far: 6.0% on a year earlier. How its forecasts have done

The economy in 2025

S$790 bn

US$604 bn

At that year’s prices. Grew 5.0% after inflation. Per person and over time

What does Q4 need?

The full figures for Q3 2026, with the forecast for 2027, come next in the Economic Survey. The ministry hasn’t named the day yet; last year’s came on 21 Nov. Release dates

In short

Singapore’s economy grew 5.4% in Q3 2026 on a year earlier, on the first estimate. To finish 2026 at 5.0%, the middle of MTI’s forecast, Q4 needs to grow 2.2%. First estimates have been 0.5 of a point from the full figure six weeks later, on average since Q4 2012. The sums

What does Q4 need for 2026 to hit a growth rate?

Pick a growth rate for 2026
%

For 2026 to grow 5.0%

  • Q4 2026 would have to be 2.2% bigger on Q4 2025.
  • That’s slower than the 5.4% in Q3.
  • If Q4 grows at Q3’s pace, 2026 ends at 5.8%.
  • Each point of growth in Q4 adds 0.26 of a point to the year.
Every pace for Q4
The year’s growth at each pace
Q4 grows2026 growsMTI’s range
4.7%Inside
5.0%Inside
5.2%Inside
5.5%Inside
5.7%Above
6.0%Above
6.3%Above
6.5%Above
6.8%Above

Tap a row to see the sum for that year’s growth.

How this is worked out

SingStat’s four quarters add up exactly to its year (we check this every day, below), so a year’s growth is the sum of its quarters against the sum of last year’s. 2025’s quarters total S$593.9 billion in 2015 prices. Q1 to Q3 2026 grew 6.4%, 6.2%, 5.4% on a year earlier in METI’s 14 Oct 2026 release, which puts the first 3 quarters at S$465.6 billion. The rest is what’s left to reach the target, against the same quarters a year before. Growth figures are rounded to one decimal place, so answers can be 0.05 of a point out either way.

Worked out in your browser from SingStat’s and METI’s figures. It’s arithmetic, not a forecast, and nothing you type is sent to us.

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Singapore’s GDP growth since 1976

Growth on a year earlier

Tap or hover on the chart to read a value.

-12%-10%-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%16%18%20%
20182020202220242026
Singapore’s real GDP growth each quarter on the same quarter a year before, from SingStat, with Q3 2026 and the revised quarters before it from the ministry’s advance release.
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The fastest quarter on record was Q2 2021, at 18.9%. The slowest was Q2 2020, at −11.7%. Over the ten years to 2025, growth averaged 3.4% a year, with 2020 the weakest (−3.6%) and 2021 the strongest (10.1%).

How the government’s forecasts have done

The ministry gives its first range for a year each November and revises it in February, May, August and November, as each quarter’s figures come in. Since 2010, the first range held the year’s first full-year estimate in 8 of 16 years. Of the misses, 6 came in above the range and 2 below. Against the figures as they stand today, after later revisions, the first range held in 5 of 16.

Each year’s first and last forecast against the outcome
YearFirst forecastLast forecastFirst estimateGrowth nowChart
20251.0 to 3.0%Nov 2024around 4.0%Nov 20254.8%outside5.0%
20241.0 to 3.0%Nov 2023around 3.5%Nov 20244.0%outside5.3%
20230.5 to 2.5%Nov 2022around 1.0%Nov 20231.2%1.5%
20223.0 to 5.0%Nov 2021around 3.5%Nov 20223.8%4.0%
20214.0 to 6.0%Nov 2020around 7.0%Nov 20217.2%outside10.1%
20200.5 to 2.5%Nov 2019−6.5 to −6.0%Nov 2020−5.8%outside−3.6%
20191.5 to 3.5%Nov 20180.5 to 1.0%Nov 20190.7%outside1.2%
20181.5 to 3.5%Nov 20173.0 to 3.5%Nov 20183.3%3.2%
20171.0 to 3.0%Nov 20163.0 to 3.5%Nov 20173.5%outside4.3%
20161.0 to 3.0%Nov 20151.0 to 1.5%Nov 20161.8%3.9%
20152.0 to 4.0%Nov 2014close to 2.0%Nov 20152.1%3.0%
20142.0 to 4.0%Nov 2013around 3.0%Nov 20142.8%3.9%
20131.0 to 3.0%Nov 20123.5 to 4.0%Nov 20133.7%outside4.8%
20121.0 to 3.0%Nov 2011around 1.5%Nov 20121.2%4.4%
20114.0 to 6.0%Nov 20105.0%Nov 20114.8%6.2%
20103.0 to 5.0%Nov 200915.0%Nov 201014.7%outside14.5%
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Forecasts from each press release’s title or text, linked in the download. “First estimate” is the full-year figure in the January advance release; “outside” marks a first range that didn’t hold it. “Growth now” is SingStat’s figure today, after every revision.

For 2026 so far: 1.0 to 3.0% on 21 Nov 2025; 2.0 to 4.0% on 10 Feb 2026; 2.0 to 4.0% on 25 May 2026; 4.5 to 5.5% on 11 Aug 2026.

How much the first estimate moves

The first estimate comes about two weeks after a quarter ends and is worked out mostly from its first two months. The full figure follows in the Economic Survey about six weeks later. Over the 55 quarters from Q4 2012 to Q2 2026, that full figure differed from the first estimate by 0.5 of a point on average. It was within half a point 37 times, higher 39 times and lower 12 times. The biggest gap was Q1 2020: first −2.2%, then −0.7%.

Figures keep changing after that, as yearly surveys and new base years come in. From the first estimate to today the average change is 1.5 of a point, and 49 of the 55 quarters now stand higher than first reported.

First estimates against the full figures and today’s
QuarterFirst estimateSix weeks laterNow
Q2 20265.7%5.9%6.2%
Q1 20264.6%6.0%6.4%
Q4 20255.7%6.9%5.7%
Q3 20252.9%4.2%4.5%
Q2 20254.3%4.4%5.4%
Q1 20253.8%3.9%4.5%
Q4 20244.3%5.0%5.3%
Q3 20244.1%5.4%7.0%

Growth on a year earlier. First estimate and six weeks later: the ministry’s advance release and its Economic Survey release. Now: SingStat’s figure, or the ministry’s latest release where it is newer.

Which industries drove growth

In Q2 2026 the economy grew 5.9%. Manufacturing added the most, 2.1 of a point, and makes up 18% of the economy. The points add up to the whole: the table is SingStat’s own split of the growth.

What drove growth
IndustryShare of the economyGrowthPoints added
Manufacturing18.4%12.5%+2.1
Wholesale and retail trade20.1%7.9%+1.6
Finance and insurance13.0%6.2%+0.8
Information and communications5.9%5.0%+0.3
Real estate and business services10.3%3.0%+0.3
Construction3.8%5.8%+0.2
Other services9.1%2.1%+0.2
Taxes on products5.7%3.6%+0.2
Transport and storage7.2%3.0%+0.1
Ownership of homes3.6%2.0%+0.1
Utilities and other goods1.4%0.6%0.0
Accommodation and food1.6%0.1%0.0

These are the latest full figures. The first estimate for Q3 2026 gives only broad groups; it’s in the ministry’s release.

Share: the last four quarters at current prices. Growth and points: real, on a year earlier. SingStat tables M015661, M015671 and M015651.

GDP by spending: homes, government, investment and trade

The same economy, counted by who spends. Singapore sells abroad goods and services worth 186% of its GDP and buys 150%, because much of what it exports passes through or is made from imports. What counts for GDP is the gap between the two.

GDP by spending
SpendingSize against GDPGrowth, Q2 2026
Household spending30%3.5%
Government spending10%2.9%
Investment (fixed assets)22%8.4%
Exports186%15.1%
Imports150%18.1%

Size: the last four quarters at current prices, against GDP. Growth: real, on a year earlier. SingStat tables M014811 and M014871. Stock changes and a statistical gap are left out, so the sizes don’t add to 100%.

How big Singapore’s economy is, and per person

In 2025 Singapore produced S$789.5 billion of goods and services, about US$604.3 billion at that year’s average rate of S$1.31 to the US dollar. That’s S$129,194 for each person living here, or US$98,878.

Not all of it stays. Foreign-owned firms send profits home, and Singaporeans earn some abroad. Net, S$133.4 billion more flowed out than in, 17% of GDP, so gross national income, what residents and their firms earn, was S$656.1 billion.

Singapore GDP, the last ten years
YearGDP, S$ bnGDP, US$ bnPer person, S$Per person, US$
2025789.5604.3129,19498,878
2024765.5573.0126,80394,912
2023686.4511.1115,99386,362
2022709.0514.2125,77391,213
2021592.6440.9108,66780,853
2020484.6351.485,23061,797
2019514.1376.890,12866,067
2018509.8377.990,41667,019
2017476.1344.984,83861,446
2016443.1320.879,03057,206

At each year’s prices; growth after inflation is in the chart above. Per person: GDP divided by everyone living here, including non-residents. SingStat tables M015731, M015721, M015121, M015101 and M015031.

Has GDP growth reached wages?

From 2001 to 2025, GDP per person grew 110% after inflation. The median full-time wage grew 55% after inflation over the same years.

GDP per person Median monthly wage

Tap or hover on the chart to read a value.

80100120140160180200220
20102020
Both after inflation, 2001 = 100. GDP per person in 2015 prices from SingStat; the median monthly wage of full-time employed residents, with employer CPF, from MOM, divided by the consumer price index.
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They measure different things. GDP per person divides the whole economy, including foreign firms’ profits, by everyone living here, foreign workers included. The wage is for residents in full-time work. Prices are adjusted differently too: GDP with its own price index, the wage with consumer prices. So part of the gap comes from how each is counted. The chart shows the two grew at different rates; it doesn’t show why. See salaries and household income for more.

Is Singapore in a recession?

No. Seasonally adjusted, GDP grew 1.1% in Q3 2026 and 1.5% in Q2 2026. (Q3 2026 is the first estimate.) A common rule of thumb calls two quarters of decline in a row a technical recession. By that rule Singapore has had 5 since 1975.

Technical recessions since 1975
QuartersHow manyFall in GDP
Q1 2020 to Q2 20202−12.2%
Q2 2008 to Q1 20094−7.8%
Q1 2001 to Q3 20013−5.4%
Q4 1997 to Q3 19984−4.9%
Q2 1985 to Q4 19853−4.9%

Fall: from the quarter before the first decline to the lowest quarter, seasonally adjusted. SingStat tables M015902 and M015662.

Why websites show different GDP figures

  • Current or constant prices. At 2025’s prices GDP was S$789.5 billion. In 2015 prices, the measure used for growth, it was S$593.9 billion.
  • S$ or US$. International sites convert to US dollars, at an average rate for the year (S$1.31 in 2025).
  • Per person. SingStat puts 2025’s GDP per person at US$98,878 at that year’s prices but US$70,684 in 2015 prices. Sites quoting about US$71,000 and about US$99,000 can both be right.
  • Old years. Global databases often lag by a year, and SingStat revises past years, so the same year can carry a different figure later.
  • Advance or final. A quarter’s first figure is an estimate; it’s replaced about six weeks later.

When the next figures come out

The full figures for Q3 2026, with the forecast for 2027, come next in the Economic Survey. The ministry hasn’t named the day yet; last year’s came on 21 Nov.

Each quarter has two releases, at 8 am: the first estimate about two weeks after the quarter ends, and the full figures in the Economic Survey six to seven weeks later. The forecast changes, if it does, with the survey. Our jobs read them the same morning.

Recent first estimates
DateReleaseQuarter
14 Oct 2026First estimateQ3 2026
14 Jul 2026First estimateQ2 2026
14 Apr 2026First estimateQ1 2026
2 Jan 2026First estimateQ4 2025

More on this topic

Singapore in numbers

Questions people ask

What is Singapore’s GDP?

S$789.5 billion in 2025 at that year’s prices, about US$604.3 billion. Over ten years

What is Singapore’s GDP growth rate?

5.4% in Q3 2026 on a year earlier (first estimate). In 2025 as a whole it was 5.0%.

What is the GDP growth forecast?

4.5 to 5.5%, set by MTI on 11 Aug 2026. How its forecasts have done

Is Singapore in a recession?

No. Seasonally adjusted, GDP moved +1.1% in Q3 2026 and +1.5% in Q2 2026. Past recessions

What is Singapore’s GDP per person?

S$129,194 in 2025, or US$98,878, at that year’s prices. It divides GDP by everyone living here, foreign workers included. Why sites differ

What is Singapore’s biggest industry?

Wholesale and retail trade, at 20% of the economy, then manufacturing at 18%. In Q2 2026, manufacturing added the most to growth. Every industry

What is an advance estimate?

The first figure for a quarter, out about two weeks after it ends. It’s worked out mostly from the quarter’s first two months, so it can change when the full figures come out. How much it has moved

When are the next GDP figures?

The full figures for Q3 2026, with the forecast for 2027, come next in the Economic Survey. The ministry hasn’t named the day yet; last year’s came on 21 Nov. Release dates

What is the difference between MTI and METI?

Same ministry. The Ministry of Trade and Industry became the Ministry of Energy, Trade and Industry, and its website moved to meti.gov.sg on 1 October 2026. Releases before then say MTI; we keep the name each release was issued under.

Why is GNI lower than GDP?

GDP counts everything produced here. Gross national income counts what residents and their firms earn, here or abroad. Foreign-owned firms here send more profit home than Singaporeans earn abroad, so GNI is the smaller figure. The numbers

Is your sum a forecast?

No. It’s arithmetic on published figures: what the remaining quarters would need for the year to reach a rate you pick. The forecasts on this page are the ministry’s.

Is what I type kept?

No. The calculator runs in your browser and sends nothing to us.

The checks

The page tests SingStat’s tables and the ministry’s release against each other every time it loads.

The page’s checks
CheckExpectedOursOK
Four quarters add to the year, last 10 years10 of 1010 of 10✓
Industry points add to growth, Q2 20265.9%5.9%✓
Year from rounded quarters, worst gap since 1977under 0.050.034✓
Release table agrees with its headline5.4%5.4%✓

How we work this out

A job reads SingStat’s tables every morning, and every few minutes on release mornings. A second job reads the ministry’s press releases, because SingStat’s tables carry only final figures. New figures show here without anyone typing them.

  • Official: GDP, growth on a year earlier and on the quarter before, each industry’s share and points, the spending side, GNI and GDP per person are SingStat’s. First estimates, revisions in the latest release and every forecast are the ministry’s, from its own releases.
  • Ours: what the rest of the year needs, the forecast and first-estimate records, the ten-year average, the recession list, and GDP per person against the median wage after inflation.
  • Forecast record: we read every forecast from the ministry’s releases since 2008 and list them, with links, in the download.
  • This page shows numbers, not advice. See our disclaimer, how we get our numbers and corrections.

Source: Singapore Department of Statistics, Table Builder, read on 8 Nov 2026, used under its terms of use; and the press releases of the Ministry of Energy, Trade and Industry (the Ministry of Trade and Industry until October 2026), read on 8 Nov 2026. Numbers.sg isn’t connected to or endorsed by the Singapore Government.

Changes to this page

  1. Singapore’s GDP and GDP growth: the latest quarter, the government’s forecast and what the rest of the year needs to reach it, every forecast since 2008 against what happened, how much first estimates move, the industries and spending behind growth, and every recession since 1975. Singapore GDP