What does Q4 need for 2026 to hit a growth rate?

Pick a growth rate for 2026
%

For 2026 to grow 5.0%

  • Q4 2026 would have to be 2.2% bigger on Q4 2025.
  • That’s slower than the 5.4% in Q3.
  • If Q4 grows at Q3’s pace, 2026 ends at 5.8%.
  • Each point of growth in Q4 adds 0.26 of a point to the year.
Every pace for Q4
The year’s growth at each pace
Q4 grows2026 growsMTI’s range
4.7%Inside
5.0%Inside
5.2%Inside
5.5%Inside
5.7%Above
6.0%Above
6.3%Above
6.5%Above
6.8%Above

Tap a row to see the sum for that year’s growth.

How this is worked out

SingStat’s four quarters add up exactly to its year (we check this every day, below), so a year’s growth is the sum of its quarters against the sum of last year’s. 2025’s quarters total S$593.9 billion in 2015 prices. Q1 to Q3 2026 grew 6.4%, 6.2%, 5.4% on a year earlier in METI’s 14 Oct 2026 release, which puts the first 3 quarters at S$465.6 billion. The rest is what’s left to reach the target, against the same quarters a year before. Growth figures are rounded to one decimal place, so answers can be 0.05 of a point out either way.

Worked out in your browser from SingStat’s and METI’s figures. It’s arithmetic, not a forecast, and nothing you type is sent to us.

Data: Department of Statistics Singapore, checked 13 Nov 2026. Full table and method on Numbers.sg